Super Rugby's Unequal and Predictable Landscape: A Sustainable Future in Doubt?
The Super Rugby Pacific competition, a cornerstone of rugby union in the Southern Hemisphere, is facing a critical juncture. With the top six teams effectively locked in for the finals after just six rounds, the question arises: is this level of inequality and predictability sustainable? The answer, I believe, is a resounding no, and here's why.
The Melbourne Rebels, once a beacon of hope, have faded into obscurity due to low attendance and lack of success. The Western Force and Moana Pasifika are facing similar challenges, and the Sydney market, home to the Waratahs, is notoriously fickle. The Highlanders, however, have found a niche, with student attendance becoming a tradition in Dunedin. But the question remains: why would anyone, even the wealthiest billionaires, invest in a team with no realistic chance of winning?
The smart play, as I see it, would be to pivot to a more level playing field, such as a competition with a salary cap or talent equalisation measures. The Crusaders, with their eight titles in nine years, have become the benchmark, and other clubs are trying to emulate their success by building depth in every position. The Chiefs' recruitment of Kyren Taumoefolau, a star outside back, and his placement in reserve grade, is a case in point.
The onus is on Rugby Australia and New Zealand Rugby to address this issue. With the loss of South African franchises, they must decide if they are content with a two-tier competition, believing it will strengthen the Wallabies and All Blacks. But this raises a deeper question: is a two-tier competition truly beneficial for the sport's development and cohesion?
The Waratahs' recent loss to the Blues highlights the importance of discipline and quality at the top. While the Blues are a talented and well-coached side, the Waratahs' soft penalties and lack of quality at No.10 (a position the Reds excel in) were decisive factors. Sid Harvey, a discovery for the Waratahs, is a beautiful balance on his feet, but the team struggles to find a quality No.10 to play the game they want.
The Brumbies, on the other hand, have consistently found players who fit their system. Kye Oates, a new winger, has been exceptional, excelling in the air, work rate, speed, and defense. His emergence has softened the blow of losing Tom Wright for the first part of the season. The Brumbies' ability to find players who immediately fit into their system is commendable.
In conclusion, Super Rugby's current state is unsustainable. The competition needs to evolve, and the onus is on Rugby Australia and New Zealand Rugby to make the necessary changes. The future of the sport depends on it, and the time to act is now. From my perspective, the sport's health and cohesion are at stake, and the time for bold action is upon us.
